Friday, January 31, 2020

Elliott Conely
1/31/2019
Nicaragua Development Blog

For the last century, Nicaragua has struggled with developing its economy and in 2020 it’s no different.
Nicaragua started the decade the second poorest country in the western hemisphere and despite high
annual growth rates, still is. I am going to investigate the indicators below to see why Nicaragua remains
undeveloped.

Real GDP Growth= -3.8% (2018)
A negative GDP growth rate is a very troubling sign for the continued success of the Nicaraguan
economy. It is a sharp downturn from 2017 when the growth rate was +4.6.

Nicaragua's Gini Coefficient indicates an unequal wealth distribution higher than some developed
countries but still within a comfortable range. For context, the US has a Gini Coefficient of .49.

The Ortega regime’s recent actions are reflected in Nicaragua's troublingly low Freedom House score
which has dropped over 50% in the last decade. This low score and other related political concern has
destroyed Nicragua's tourism industry and foreign investment. I saw this change first hand when my
school was forced to abruptly cancel trips to Nicaragua after going on annual trips for many years.
When I visited in 2016 and 2017 I saw what a promising path the country was on and I was very
surprised by its low crime rate.

Nicaragua's estimated unemployment rate in 2018 was 6.4%. The number was remarkably low and
with low unemployment often comes wage growth, a much needed change for Nicaraguan workers. It
is, however, worth mentioning that Nicragua's underemployement rate is much higher estimated
around 45%.


With 30.9% percent of Nicaraguans working in Agriculture, their economy is particularly vulnerable to
climate change and other natural events. There are more Nicaraguans in non agricultural industries
than the global average which could help their economy industrialize more quickly.


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